Tag Archives: putin

Ambassador Matlock Sees the Nuclear Dimension to Ukraine

In a post earlier this month, I decried that the news coverage of the Ukrainian crisis was largely overlooking the nuclear dimension to the risk, and thereby increasing that risk. As I listened today to the Q&A following Ambassador Jack Matlock’s February 11 speech, I was pleased to see him repeatedly highlight that concern. I therefore began to transcribe the Q&A, and share what I’ve done thus far under my signature line. If anyone has the time to continue the process, please post it as a comment. Continue reading

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Reagan’s Ambassador to Moscow Says US Suffers from Autistic Foreign Policy

Three days ago, I posted excerpts I had found in news articles from an important speech, but overlooked speech by Ambassador Jack Matlock, our Ambassador to Moscow under Presidents Ronald Reagan and George H. W. Bush. Today I found both a full transcript of his speech and its YouTube video. Continue reading

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A Tale of Two Insurgencies

What’s this? A comparison between Ronald Reagan and Vladimir Putin by a respected international expert on Harvard’s faculty! Prof. Stephen Walt does not say that the two men are moral equivalents or that Putin deserves our sympathy – in fact he says the opposite – but Walt does draw a surprising parallel between Reagan’s actions in Nicaragua in the 1980s and Putin’s in Ukraine today. Continue reading

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Reagan’s Ambassador to Moscow Speaks on Ukraine

Over the last year, this blog has presented significant evidence that the prevailing Western view of the Ukrainian crisis has major blind spots which are prolonging the human suffering in that nation, and which also increase the risk of a nuclear … Continue reading

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A Dangerous Trend Line

For a number of years I have advocated a risk framework for reducing the danger of a Russian-American crisis escalating out of control to nuclear threats. One tool in that approach is to highlight early steps in accident chains which could lead to catastrophe and, instead of ignoring them, to treat them as early warning signs needing remedial action. Doing that is one goal of this blog, but a recent Gallup poll shows how miserably I (and others) are succeeding. Gallup’s accompanying news release starts out: Continue reading

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The Ukrainian Crisis: Time to Think Things Through!

Yesterday’s post noted that the number of Russians fearing nuclear war had more than doubled in the last two years, from 8% to 17%. Adding to the risk that the Ukrainian crisis could escalate to nuclear threats, the top story in today’s New York Times is headlined “U.S. Considers Supplying Arms to Kiev Forces.” Continue reading

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More Russians Fear Nuclear War

The risk analysis approach I have advocated for reducing the threat of nuclear war doesn’t wait for a catastrophe to occur before taking remedial action since, clearly, that would be too late. Instead, it sees catastrophes as the final step in a chain of mistakes, and tries to stop the accident chain at the earliest possible stage. The news coming out of Ukraine for over a year has given us many options for doing that, but few in this country seem aware of the nuclear dimension to the risk. Russians are more aware, with a recent poll showing 18% who fear a nuclear war, versus 8% two years ago. Continue reading

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