Nixon’s Adviser Warns Ukraine Could Have “Echoes of 1914″

An  interview in The New Republic presents yet another perspective on the Ukrainian crisis. In it,  Dmitri Simes warns that actions by the Obama administration could lead to “worse than anything we have witnessed during the Cold War. We would hear the echoes of 1914.” Simes brings considerable expertise to the table. He was the founding president of The Nixon Center, now known as The Center for the National Interest, and served as an unofficial policy adviser  to President Nixon. He emigrated to the US from the Soviet Union in 1973. I’ve excerpted some key parts just below my signature line.

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Ukraine: Why We Need to Stop and Think

Pictures of Ukrainians – some dead, some alive, with blood all over them – them tugs at our heart strings. And well it should. But, before we let our emotions get the better of us, we need to stop and think: What do we really know? Unless we do that, we risk spilling far more blood. Continue reading

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Unusual Perspectives on the Ukrainian Crisis

We constantly hear the mainstream American reaction to the Ukrainian crisis, with a number of authors even comparing Putin’s actions in the Crimea to Hitler’s takeover of Czechoslovakia’s Sudetenland. My goal, both in today’s post and Sunday’s is to provide alternative perspectives so that you can then draw your own conclusions. Continue reading

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Ukraine: The Value of Risk Analysis in Foreseeing Crises

The quantitative risk analysis approach to nuclear deterrence not only allows a more objective estimate of how much risk we face, but also highlights otherwise unforeseen ways to reduce that risk. The current crisis in Ukraine provides a good example. Continue reading

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A Nuclear Weapons Convention?

I hope you’ll take six minutes to watch ICAN’s* excellent and important video on the need for new thinking with respect to nuclear weapons. As you watch it, remember that, contrary to the claims of scare stories which stop you from thinking, banning nuclear weapons does not mean we would get rid of all of ours tomorrow and be at the mercy of any nation which cheated. Continue reading

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Avoiding Needless Wars, Part 10: Iran

The interim agreement to freeze Iran’s nuclear program has been praised by some as a diplomatic breakthrough and condemned by others as a prelude to nuclear disaster. A full appraisal must wait until we see what the follow-on agreements, if any, look like. In the meantime, here’s my take: Continue reading

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My Take on Snowden’s Revelations

Earlier this month, I was interviewed by KNBC’s Scott McGrew regarding Snowden’s revelations about NSA spying. The clip is eight and a half minutes long, and here are some of the main points I made: Continue reading

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